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Can the Central Valley’s agriculture industry survive the Trump administration?

A woman sits as she plants tomatoes
A woman covers her face with a flannel to withstand the sun’s rays while sitting on a machine planting tomatoes in the Central Valley.
(Soudi Jimenez / Los Angeles Times)

Good morning. Here’s what you need to know to start your day.

Deportation fears could affect state harvests

California has an estimated 162,000 farmworkers and more than half of them are undocumented, federal data show.

Given that, it’s no surprise that immigrant communities in the Central Valley and beyond are on heightened alert as President Trump looks to follow through on his vows of historic mass deportations.

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After dozens of people were arrested during a Border Patrol operation in Bakersfield earlier this month (in the final weeks of Joe Biden’s presidency), immigrant advocates voiced concerns that it was a harbinger of what to expect in Trump’s second term.

Now community groups are mobilizing in response to those fears, encouraging residents to report sightings of U.S. Border Patrol or Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents.

And as California braces for a promised blitz of raids and deportations, farmers in the state are expressing fears that targeting their workforce could lead to lost harvests and higher food prices.

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Workers sit on buckets and listen to a presentation on a dirt path
A farm in Hanford goes over safety protocols for their employees.
(Tomas Ovalle / For the Times)

Strike teams work to ‘build power, not panic’

The last time Trump was president, grassroots rapid-response networks launched across California and the U.S. as a first line of defense for immigrant communities fearful of raids and deportations.

“The premise was straightforward,” The Times’ Rebecca Plevin explained in her recent reporting. “People who see immigration or border agents in their community call or text a hotline. A dispatcher notifies volunteers, who respond to the reported address to confirm whether there is, in fact, an active operation. If verified, the dispatcher can send out a legal observer to monitor the situation, as well as an attorney to provide legal assistance.”

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The groups can help decipher facts from rumors in a charged social media landscape that can deter some from going to work or taking their kids to school. The networks also work to inform immigrants of their rights and provide legal defense to those detained by federal officials.

“Our primary goal is to build power, not panic,” Lisa Knox, co-executive director and legal director for the California Collaborative for Immigrant Justice, told Rebecca.

A worker dumps oranges from a bag into a bin
A farmworker picks oranges at a field in the San Joaquin Valley.
(Tomas Ovalle / For The Times)

Deportation fears are being felt on Central Valley farms — and could affect harvests.

In recent weeks, news organizations have reported that many Central Valley farmworkers are not showing up for work, fearing they’ll be arrested or deported.

Some in the agriculture industry are warning that losing the vital labor — either from fear or federal enforcement — could do a number on California’s lucrative crops and would soon be felt by consumers, too.

“They’re not going to show up for work and that means crops will remain in the field and not be harvested and probably lost at that point,” Monterey County Farm Bureau Executive Director Norm Groot told NBC Bay Area News earlier this month, adding that scarce produce could lead to higher food prices.

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I reached out to the California Farm Bureau to find out what it’s hearing from farmers and workers this week. The group’s director of media relations did not have information on that, but shared statements from its president, Shannon Douglass.

“Immigrant employees are the backbone of California’s agricultural sector, with roughly one-third of the nation’s agricultural workforce located in our state. These employees play a critical role in producing the fruits, vegetables and nuts that make California the nation’s leader in specialty crops,” Douglass wrote. “Indiscriminate deportations could disrupt California agriculture, rural communities and the broader economy.”

Today’s top stories

Heavy gray clouds hang over the ocean and two people on a shore.
People take in the view of heavy clouds and light rain at Laguna Beach on Sunday afternoon.
(Allen J. Schaben / Los Angeles Times)

Rain and snow across Southern California temper the fire threat — for now

  • By midmorning Monday, the heaviest rain and snowfall had mostly passed, but cleanup and recovery efforts were ongoing after bursts of intense downpours — some that hit near fragile burn scars.
  • The amount of rain that fell isn’t quite enough to end Los Angeles’ fire season dragging into February. Officials said the region needs 2 to 4 inches of rain to comfortably ditch the ongoing wildfire threat; this storm dropped a half-inch to 1.5 inches across the L.A. Basin.
  • The possibility for isolated showers will remain across the Los Angeles Basin into Tuesday.

The U.S. and Colombia back down from trade war

  • An impasse between the United States and Colombia over Colombia’s refusal to accept deportation flights has ended, following a day in which each side threatened tariffs on the other.
  • On Sunday, Colombian President Gustavo Petro turned back two U.S. military flights carrying deportees as part of President Trump’s plan to expel millions of migrants.
  • In response, Trump said he was ordering a 25% tariff on all Colombian exports to the U.S. that would rise to 50% in a week if flights were not resumed.

The Air Force restores the use of Tuskegee Airmen training materials

The countdown to Super Bowl LIX begins

What else is going on


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Commentary and opinions

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This morning’s must reads

A mother carries a child in a migrant camp in Mexico City.
A woman with her child at a migrant camp in Mexico City. Migrants express concern and fear of mass deportation with President Trump’s return to the White House.
(Gerardo Vieyra / NurPhoto / Getty Images)

Stranded in Mexico City, these migrants hoping to reach the United States have no good options. It was supposed to be a temporary stop, a place for the migrant camp of La Soledad to regroup and wait for the right moment to continue on toward the United States. Then President Trump issued decrees that effectively shut down migration along the U.S.-Mexico border. Despondent and broke — many sold homes, borrowed cash, paid smugglers and left children behind in pursuit of the American dream — they now face an existential reckoning: What next?

Other must reads


How can we make this newsletter more useful? Send comments to [email protected].


For your downtime

Illustration of dumplings and other festive dishes on a red tabletop
(Fangyu Ma / For the Times)

Going out

Staying in

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A question for you: What movie do you think should win the Oscar for Best Picture?

Luis Carlos Gutiérrez-Negrín writes: “To me, the Oscar must go to ‘Conclave,’ a film with an excellent story, very good performances (Ralph Fiennes, Isabella Rosselini) and an unexpected end, that was wisely directed. It helps to expose much of the good, the bad and the ugly of Vatican politics, particularly when it’s necessary to elect a new Pope.”

Email us at [email protected], and your response might appear in the newsletter this week.

And finally ... your photo of the day

A person wearing glasses and a black and blue sweater poses for a portrait next to an orange wall
Bowen Yang of “The Wedding Banquet.”
(Jason Armond / Los Angeles Times)

Today’s great photo is from Times photographer Jason Armond at the 2025 Sundance Film Festival, where Times reporters and photographers have been documenting actors, writers, directors and documentary subjects shaping the cultural conversation in Park City, Utah, Hollywood and beyond.

Have a great day, from the Essential California team

Ryan Fonseca, reporter
Defne Karabatur, fellow
Andrew Campa, Sunday reporter
Kevinisha Walker, multiplatform editor
Hunter Clauss, multiplatform editor
Christian Orozco, assistant editor
Stephanie Chavez, deputy metro editor
Karim Doumar, head of newsletters

Check our top stories, topics and the latest articles on latimes.com.

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